Estimation of Rare Event Probabilities in Complex Aerospace and Other Systems

Rare event probability (10-4 and less) estimation has become a large area of research in the reliability engineering and system safety domains. A significant number of methods have been proposed to reduce the computation burden for the estimation of rare events from advanced sampling approaches to extreme value theory. However, it is often difficult in practice to determine which algorithm is the most adapted to a given problem. Estimation of Rare Event Probabilities in Complex Aerospace and Other Systems: A Practical Approach provides a broad up-to-date view of the current available techniques to estimate rare event probabilities described with a unified notation, a mathematical pseudocode to ease their potential implementation and finally a large spectrum of simulation results on academic and realistic use cases. Provides a broad overview of the practical approach of rare event methods. Includes algorithms that are applied to aerospace benchmark test cases Offers insight into practical tuning issues

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  • Author : Jerome Morio
  • Publisher : Woodhead Publishing
  • Pages : 216 pages
  • ISBN : 0081001118
  • Rating : 4/5 from 21 reviews
CLICK HERE TO GET THIS BOOKEstimation of Rare Event Probabilities in Complex Aerospace and Other Systems

Estimation of Rare Event Probabilities in Complex Aerospace and Other Systems

Estimation of Rare Event Probabilities in Complex Aerospace and Other Systems
  • Author : Jerome Morio,Mathieu Balesdent
  • Publisher : Woodhead Publishing
  • Release : 16 November 2015
GET THIS BOOKEstimation of Rare Event Probabilities in Complex Aerospace and Other Systems

Rare event probability (10-4 and less) estimation has become a large area of research in the reliability engineering and system safety domains. A significant number of methods have been proposed to reduce the computation burden for the estimation of rare events from advanced sampling approaches to extreme value theory. However, it is often difficult in practice to determine which algorithm is the most adapted to a given problem. Estimation of Rare Event Probabilities in Complex Aerospace and Other Systems: A

Aerospace System Analysis and Optimization in Uncertainty

Aerospace System Analysis and Optimization in Uncertainty
  • Author : Loïc Brevault,Mathieu Balesdent,Jérôme Morio
  • Publisher : Springer Nature
  • Release : 26 August 2020
GET THIS BOOKAerospace System Analysis and Optimization in Uncertainty

Spotlighting the field of Multidisciplinary Design Optimization (MDO), this book illustrates and implements state-of-the-art methodologies within the complex process of aerospace system design under uncertainties. The book provides approaches to integrating a multitude of components and constraints with the ultimate goal of reducing design cycles. Insights on a vast assortment of problems are provided, including discipline modeling, sensitivity analysis, uncertainty propagation, reliability analysis, and global multidisciplinary optimization. The extensive range of topics covered include areas of current open research. This

Modeling and Optimization in Space Engineering

Modeling and Optimization in Space Engineering
  • Author : Giorgio Fasano,János D. Pintér
  • Publisher : Springer
  • Release : 10 May 2019
GET THIS BOOKModeling and Optimization in Space Engineering

This book presents advanced case studies that address a range of important issues arising in space engineering. An overview of challenging operational scenarios is presented, with an in-depth exposition of related mathematical modeling, algorithmic and numerical solution aspects. The model development and optimization approaches discussed in the book can be extended also towards other application areas. The topics discussed illustrate current research trends and challenges in space engineering as summarized by the following list: • Next Generation Gravity Missions • Continuous-Thrust Trajectories

Rare Event Simulation using Monte Carlo Methods

Rare Event Simulation using Monte Carlo Methods
  • Author : Gerardo Rubino,Bruno Tuffin
  • Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
  • Release : 18 March 2009
GET THIS BOOKRare Event Simulation using Monte Carlo Methods

In a probabilistic model, a rare event is an event with a very small probability of occurrence. The forecasting of rare events is a formidable task but is important in many areas. For instance a catastrophic failure in a transport system or in a nuclear power plant, the failure of an information processing system in a bank, or in the communication network of a group of banks, leading to financial losses. Being able to evaluate the probability of rare events

Introduction to Rare Event Simulation

Introduction to Rare Event Simulation
  • Author : James Bucklew
  • Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
  • Release : 09 March 2013
GET THIS BOOKIntroduction to Rare Event Simulation

This book presents a unified theory of rare event simulation and the variance reduction technique known as importance sampling from the point of view of the probabilistic theory of large deviations. It allows us to view a vast assortment of simulation problems from a unified single perspective.

Probabilistic Risk Analysis

Probabilistic Risk Analysis
  • Author : Lecturer in Mathematics Tim Bedford,Tim Bedford,Roger Cooke
  • Publisher : Cambridge University Press
  • Release : 30 April 2001
GET THIS BOOKProbabilistic Risk Analysis

Probabilistic risk analysis aims to quantify the risk caused by high technology installations. Increasingly, such analyses are being applied to a wider class of systems in which problems such as lack of data, complexity of the systems, uncertainty about consequences, make a classical statistical analysis difficult or impossible. The authors discuss the fundamental notion of uncertainty, its relationship with probability, and the limits to the quantification of uncertainty. Drawing on extensive experience in the theory and applications of risk analysis,

Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change

Attribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change
  • Author : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate,Committee on Extreme Weather Events and Climate Change Attribution
  • Publisher : National Academies Press
  • Release : 28 July 2016
GET THIS BOOKAttribution of Extreme Weather Events in the Context of Climate Change

As climate has warmed over recent years, a new pattern of more frequent and more intense weather events has unfolded across the globe. Climate models simulate such changes in extreme events, and some of the reasons for the changes are well understood. Warming increases the likelihood of extremely hot days and nights, favors increased atmospheric moisture that may result in more frequent heavy rainfall and snowfall, and leads to evaporation that can exacerbate droughts. Even with evidence of these broad

Fault Tree Handbook

Fault Tree Handbook
  • Author : W. E. Vesely,F. F. Goldberg,U.s. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
  • Publisher : CreateSpace
  • Release : 12 June 2014
GET THIS BOOKFault Tree Handbook

Since 1975, a short course entitled "System Safety and Reliability Analysis" has been presented to over 200 NRC personnel and contractors.

Single Event Effects in Aerospace

Single Event Effects in Aerospace
  • Author : Edward Petersen
  • Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
  • Release : 16 November 2011
GET THIS BOOKSingle Event Effects in Aerospace

This book introduces the basic concepts necessary to understand Single Event phenomena which could cause random performance errors and catastrophic failures to electronics devices. As miniaturization of electronics components advances, electronics components are more susceptible in the radiation environment. The book includes a discussion of the radiation environments in space and in the atmosphere, radiation rate prediction depending on the orbit to allow electronics engineers to design and select radiation tolerant components and systems, and single event prediction.

Reproducibility and Replicability in Science

Reproducibility and Replicability in Science
  • Author : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine,Policy and Global Affairs,Committee on Science, Engineering, Medicine, and Public Policy,Board on Research Data and Information,Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences,Committee on Applied and Theoretical Statistics,Board on Mathematical Sciences and Analytics,Division on Earth and Life Studies,Nuclear and Radiation Studies Board,Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,Committee on National Statistics,Board on Behavioral, Cognitive, and Sensory Sciences,Committee on Reproducibility and Replicability in Science
  • Publisher : National Academies Press
  • Release : 20 October 2019
GET THIS BOOKReproducibility and Replicability in Science

One of the pathways by which the scientific community confirms the validity of a new scientific discovery is by repeating the research that produced it. When a scientific effort fails to independently confirm the computations or results of a previous study, some fear that it may be a symptom of a lack of rigor in science, while others argue that such an observed inconsistency can be an important precursor to new discovery. Concerns about reproducibility and replicability have been expressed